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  • #46
    W.H.O officially calling COVID-19 a pandemic.

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    • #47
      All schools in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties closed through APRIL 24.

      Madness.

      Comment


      • #48
        My home county is on lockdown. No schools, daycare, gyms, gatherings.

        Comment


        • #49
          Daycare is still open so I'm still working for now.

          A lot of parents having to figure out WTF to do with their grade schoolers all day though.

          Comment


          • #50
            Crazy times. My oldest daughters school converted to online. Could be extended after spring break.

            Comment


            • #51
              No one can see into the future, but there are plenty of people still in denial so I thought I would try to share some insight.


              So what’s the current plan moving forward? We have shifted into a phase of social distancing. It’s pretty straightforward, we are trying to minimize transmission of the virus by attempting to minimize interactions with other people.


              Why is this important? Ideally, we want to flatten the curve.

              *See graph

              This graphic shows the number of cases over time in relation to hospital carrying capacity. This capacity line represents the availability of hospital beds and equipment such as ventilators. By flattening the curve we want to use social distancing to decrease the number of cases while extending the timeline in the hopes of maintaining a demand that is lower than the available capacity.

              The Coronavirus was believed to have an R0 value of 2, meaning, on average, for ever person that is contagious 2 more individuals will become infected. The World Health Organization also formed a mortality rate of 3.4%. Both of these figures are highly disputed, and there is not enough available data to know the exact figure. Anthony Fauci believes the US mortality rate to be closer to 1%. According to Mark Lipsitch, Harvard professor of epidemiology, 20% to 60% of the worlds adult population with contract COVID-19. I don’t have demographic numbers for the worlds population over the age of 17, but the worlds population is 7.58 billion. Going conservatively, 20% would equate to 1.516 billion. The average death toll at 1% would be 15.16 million people. At 60% the number of infected would average 4.548 billion which translates to 45.48 million deaths on average.


              Extrapolating for the city of Knoxville’s population of 853k at a 20% rate is 170.6k, bringing an average mortality rate at just above 1.7k. Those over the age of 80 already have a 20% chance of death so 1 out of 5 would die on average. Recovery time from the virus averages anywhere from 2-6 weeks. So the demand for hospital capacity would roughly be 168.3k for a 2-6 week of duration per person. Now we’re talking about indirect deaths from normal complications (car wrecks, surgery’s, etc.) for people that can’t find adequate treatment. This would likely cause a massive jump in death rate that would impact far more than just the elderly. Even if you don’t agree with the estimated rate of infection, feel free to adjust it to a very modest 5% (42,650 people infected). It’s still far too large.

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              • #52
                It’s hard to look at this now, and not think it was a viral weapon. Let’s examine what we know:
                1. Corona virus is not new
                2. CoVid-19 is more deadly than regular flu
                3. it’s more communicable that regular flu
                4. a 2 week incubation that shows little to no symptoms
                5. Can spread virus while showing no symptoms.
                6. Chinese agents stole this strain from a lab in Canada.
                7. Ground zero appears to be in a Provence where a viral weapons lab exist, and several research facilities are public ally known.
                8. China is currently trying to blame the US for this somehow.

                I’m not saying it is weaponized flu, but if it were, and there was an accidental release, so far this has played out just like you’d expect......minus the zombies.

                Comment


                • #53
                  Originally posted by DynastyFSU2 View Post
                  It’s hard to look at this now, and not think it was a viral weapon. Let’s examine what we know:
                  1. Corona virus is not new
                  2. CoVid-19 is more deadly than regular flu
                  3. it’s more communicable that regular flu
                  4. a 2 week incubation that shows little to no symptoms
                  5. Can spread virus while showing no symptoms.
                  6. Chinese agents stole this strain from a lab in Canada.
                  7. Ground zero appears to be in a Provence where a viral weapons lab exist, and several research facilities are public ally known.
                  8. China is currently trying to blame the US for this somehow.

                  I’m not saying it is weaponized flu, but if it were, and there was an accidental release, so far this has played out just like you’d expect......minus the zombies.
                  Disease guy in Joe Rogan laughed at that notion. Said mankind was not skillful or advanced enough to emulate mother nature on a grand scale. Said mother nature was the only way something could be perfected so well. Plus didn't virologists already break down the virus completely and state it wasn't engineered? Humans have a natural love for conspiracies though.

                  Comment


                  • #54
                    So we’ve entered the Facebook scientist stage of this.

                    Comment


                    • #55
                      Originally posted by DynastyFSU2 View Post
                      It’s hard to look at this now, and not think it was a viral weapon. Let’s examine what we know:
                      1. Corona virus is not new
                      2. CoVid-19 is more deadly than regular flu
                      3. it’s more communicable that regular flu
                      4. a 2 week incubation that shows little to no symptoms
                      5. Can spread virus while showing no symptoms.
                      6. Chinese agents stole this strain from a lab in Canada.
                      7. Ground zero appears to be in a Provence where a viral weapons lab exist, and several research facilities are public ally known.
                      8. China is currently trying to blame the US for this somehow.

                      I’m not saying it is weaponized flu, but if it were, and there was an accidental release, so far this has played out just like you’d expect......minus the zombies.
                      It's not a weaponized flu because it's not a fucking flu. It's a respiratory virus.

                      Comment


                      • #56
                        https://heavy.com/news/2020/03/watch...irus-supplies/

                        Comment


                        • #57
                          Originally posted by DynastyFSU2 View Post
                          It’s hard to look at this now, and not think it was a viral weapon. Let’s examine what we know:
                          1. Corona virus is not new
                          2. CoVid-19 is more deadly than regular flu
                          3. it’s more communicable that regular flu
                          4. a 2 week incubation that shows little to no symptoms
                          5. Can spread virus while showing no symptoms.
                          6. Chinese agents stole this strain from a lab in Canada.
                          7. Ground zero appears to be in a Provence where a viral weapons lab exist, and several research facilities are public ally known.
                          8. China is currently trying to blame the US for this somehow.

                          I’m not saying it is weaponized flu, but if it were, and there was an accidental release, so far this has played out just like you’d expect......minus the zombies.
                          I totally believe it was China's way of getting back at the Germophobe-in- chief for the tariffs.

                          Tariffs forced the Chinese to resort to eating wild animals because wine and caviar became too expensive

                          Comment


                          • #58
                            Shoutout to all the cheap folks who panicked and bought all the shitty toilet paper. I just happened to be running low and had plenty of the good stuff to choose from.

                            Comment


                            • #59
                              Never change Atlanta.

                              https://www.ajc.com/news/local/photo...GpC8KDU92RbHM/

                              Comment


                              • #60
                                I plan on making a trek to the large liquor store to truly see what level of panic we are in this afternoon. There’s only so much time you can spend with your family and loved ones without drinking.

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