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Why are Trump supporters behaving like 2018 didn't happen?

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  • #16
    Originally posted by tOSUfanboi2 View Post

    Okay, and? All you’re doing is demonstrating that there’s no observable correlation between unemployment and midterm results.

    Just “take your L” like a good little boy and run along. I promise you’ll have plenty more chances to make a fool out of yourself before November.

    Or it could be that 2018 was the outlier. Plug it into your excel sheet and let me know what you find out.

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    • #17
      Originally posted by md21 View Post


      Or it could be that 2018 was the outlier. Plug it into your excel sheet and let me know what you find out.
      Sigh, ok, I guess you’re going to make me do this.

      Lets do every midterm election years unemployment rate side by side with the amount of seats lost in the midterms by the sitting president’s party since 1962 and see what comes up.

      1962: 1 total seat lost, 5.5% unemployment
      1966: 51 total seats lost, 3.8% unemployment (lol)
      1970: 10 total seats lost, 6.1% unemployment
      1974: 53 total seats lost, 7.2% unemployment
      1978: 18 total seats lost, 6% unemployment
      1982: 25 total seats lost, 10.8% unemployment
      1986: 13 total seats lost, 6.6% unemployment
      1990: 9 total seats lost, 6.3% unemployment
      1994: 60 total seats lost, 5.5% unemployment
      1998: 5 seats gained, 4.4% unemployment
      2002: 10 seats gained, 6% unemployment
      2006: 36 total seats lost, 4.4% unemployment
      2010: 69 total seats lost, 9.3% unemployment
      2014: 21 total seats lost, 5.6% unemployment
      2018: 39 total seats lost, 3.9% unemployment

      There is no correlation. You can fuck off now.

      Comment


      • #18
        Originally posted by tOSUfanboi2 View Post

        Sigh, ok, I guess you’re going to make me do this.

        Lets do every midterm election years unemployment rate side by side with the amount of seats lost in the midterms by the sitting president’s party since 1962 and see what comes up.

        1962: 1 total seat lost, 5.5% unemployment
        1966: 51 total seats lost, 3.8% unemployment (lol)
        1970: 10 total seats lost, 6.1% unemployment
        1974: 53 total seats lost, 7.2% unemployment
        1978: 18 total seats lost, 6% unemployment
        1982: 25 total seats lost, 10.8% unemployment
        1986: 13 total seats lost, 6.6% unemployment
        1990: 9 total seats lost, 6.3% unemployment
        1994: 60 total seats lost, 5.5% unemployment
        1998: 5 seats gained, 4.4% unemployment
        2002: 10 seats gained, 6% unemployment
        2006: 36 total seats lost, 4.4% unemployment
        2010: 69 total seats lost, 9.3% unemployment
        2014: 21 total seats lost, 5.6% unemployment
        2018: 39 total seats lost, 3.9% unemployment

        There is no correlation. You can fuck off now.

        Interesting stuff. So the only other comparable year, 1966, was smack in the middle of Vietnam and the civil rights movement. Perhaps not coincidentally that was the last year that had such high turnout. Incumbent president's party went on to lose the white house btw. I wonder why people were so motivated in 2018?

        Thanks!

        Comment


        • #19
          Originally posted by md21 View Post


          Interesting stuff. So the only other comparable year, 1966, was smack in the middle of Vietnam and the civil rights movement. Perhaps not coincidentally that was the last year that had such high turnout. Incumbent president's party went on to lose the white house btw. I wonder why people were so motivated in 2018?

          Thanks!
          I feel bad for your wife if this is how you are in person.

          Its okay to be wrong man, just say so or you know, say nothing and move on.

          Comment


          • #20
            Originally posted by tOSUfanboi2 View Post

            I feel bad for your wife if this is how you are in person.

            Its okay to be wrong man, just say so or you know, say nothing and move on.
            She's probably the only one who hates me more than you.


            I never said there was a strong correlation. 2018 proved that people aren't always motivated by the economy.

            Comment

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